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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/15 (afternoon edition) (399 comments)

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  •  Plouffe sent out a press release to fight back... (7+ / 0-)

    Which really sucks when we have to do that, but it's only because Gallup is still a respected name.  Plouffe's response was good 'cos it used facts, figures, and history to push back against the outlier.  I wish they also used the ABC News poll to push back, too, since it had the exact opposite info.

    Fortunately, Nate is disregarding this gallup breakdown 'cos it literally is polling a few dozen people per state.  the MOE's are huge and not representative.


    by LordMike on Mon Oct 15, 2012 at 02:35:14 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Details from the press release (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ArkDem14, BeloitDem, MBishop1, askew, MichaelNY
      Only 2 years ago the distortions in Gallup’s likely voter screen were exposed, leaving Gallup’s survey 9 points off the mark just days before the election.

      — Gallup’s likely voter model predicted a 15 point advantage for Republicans, 55-40, on October 31, 2010.

      — The final result was a 6 point margin, 51-45.

      — That year, Gallup’s registered voter survey was much closer to reality at 48-44.

      I hope; therefore, I can live.

      by tietack on Mon Oct 15, 2012 at 05:42:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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