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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/16 (morning edition) (362 comments)

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  •  Pennsylvania might be marginal (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, MichaelNY

    for a lot of Democrats, but most Democrats don't have his ability to play well throughout the entire state.

    "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

    by bjssp on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 09:12:11 AM PDT

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    •  his poll numbers aren't there (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      If he was up 60-40, i could see him being lazy. But he is not, and the polls have been tightening

      •  Which polls? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        I'm not sure we should take those from McLaughlin or Pulse Opinion all that seriously. The same can be said for Muhlenberg.

        Quinnipiac's is kind of worrying, but I don't see any partisan splits. Given how the truly eye-popping results this cycle (i.e. Pew from a few weeks ago that had Romney up by 12) had have absurdly Republican samples, it wouldn't surprise me if that were the case here.

        "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

        by bjssp on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 10:27:02 AM PDT

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        •  Dangerous to dismiss a litany of polls (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          propjoe, BeloitDem, MichaelNY, jncca

          Just because you don't like the results. It screams denial

          •  I don't think I am dismissing those polls (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            so much as I am being skeptical of their results. The most polls are from right-leaning groups that have questionable internals and/or from marginal if not no name groups that don't have great track records in the state, if any at all.

            You could also go based on the fact that the NRSC has had little to no involvement in the race so far. It's not clear how much outside groups like FreedomWorks have spent on the race. On our side, the DSCC has spent little to nothing, from what I can tell.

            Also, just ask yourself this: if Obama is set to win, won't Casey? I think he will.

            "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

            by bjssp on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 11:38:05 AM PDT

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            •  You can dismiss them (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY

              Qpac has been off this cycle.  And the one that showed a 4pt race but like 15% undecided that was released yesterday is useless.

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 11:56:53 AM PDT

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