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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/16 (morning edition) (362 comments)

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  •  I fear it might ... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, Zornorph

    ... validate the PPP/SEIU poll. Sure, Gallup may have detected a good day of polling for Romney a day later than PPP but it's now detecting it.

    The good news for Obama: tonight's the debate, and this likely won't matter in the polls in a couple of days, which by then will be effected by whatever happens in the debate.

    •  I disagree (6+ / 0-)

      The approval number has pushed back up for Obama and that's the last 3 days, versus 7 days for the toplines. So it's unlikely that yesterday was a particularly good Romney day.

    •  There are no "good days" and "bad days"... (7+ / 0-)

      ...in actual voter behavior.

      Voters don't jump around like that.

      Gallup and PPP today are just a coincidence, nothing more.  That everyone else disagrees with them underscores the point.

      These daily movements don't matter.

      Romney did gain after the first debate, yes.  But Obama is still ahead.

      44, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 10:17:41 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  "But Obama is still ahead" (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike, jj32

        I'm not convinced by that. He might well be but it isn't as clear as it was.

        "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

        by conspiracy on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 10:21:35 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Why? (0+ / 0-)

          Have you seen any reason to believe Romney is ahead in Ohio? I haven't. Have you seen any reason to believe Romney is ahead in Wisconsin? I haven't. Have you seen any reason to believe Romney is ahead in Iowa Or Nevada? I haven't. Win those first 2 and one of Iowa or Nevada and the President is re-elected.

          •  No (0+ / 0-)

            I'm talking national polls. And no, I am not wetting the bed. I am just commenting as I see the situation.

            "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

            by conspiracy on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 10:52:32 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Saying (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              sacman701

              Romney is ahead in national polls (something that's far from clearly true) but losing the electoral college. If that's true on election day (something I see as highly unlikely but possible) is like in a football game getting more yards but fewer points. It might make for a nice talking point for your supporters, but it doesn't change the fact that you lost.

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