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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/16 (morning edition) (362 comments)

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  •  Nah (1+ / 0-)
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    MichaelNY

    50% is a bridge too far for Smith, especially figuring casey gets about 400K votes more in Philly alone.

    He's fine, but in an off-year election against even the unpopular Corbett it'd be 50/50, especially with him running this type of campaign.

    "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

    by rdw72777 on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 10:29:58 AM PDT

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    •  How did he run in 2006? (0+ / 0-)

      I have no idea if he wants to be governor, but if he does, is it crazy to expect him to not run a half-assed campaign?

      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

      by bjssp on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 11:39:03 AM PDT

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      •  Well (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        I'd say 2006 was a decently pro-Dem year, Santorum was overplaying his conservative-ness and Casey was able to waltz through.

        Here's how I think his 2 races aren't comparable, he's likely to win by less against an unknown first-timer than he is when unseating an incumbent even as the state has moved to the left (slightly) over that time.  That shouldn't be happening.

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 12:07:13 PM PDT

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