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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/16 (afternoon edition) (334 comments)

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  •  Indeed (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    The Caped Composer

    Hence my comment.
    I have been preaching for several days that it won't be enough for Obama to simply be better because frankly, considering the way ppl remember the first debate (a bit unfairly but too late to kvetch about that now), it is pretty much baked in the cake in terms of media expectations that he will be better tonight.
    We actually need Romney to either suck (I doubt it) or say something really callous. Since part of his move in the polls seems to be because ppl "realized" he was not the caricature from the Obama campaign ads, we actually need him to say something that will bring all that back to the fore.
    I would be surprised if he was bad. He is too disciplined for that. He never has been bad at a debate. But he has made plenty of gaffes. That's the only way the media will treat this as a clear Obama win and, let's face it, it is highly unlikely unless Obama has been prepped to rattle him and trap him. And the format does not lend itself to that.
    I don't think tonight will be the circuit-breaker we need. But at least it should get some Democrats back in the LV screen. That's my positive spin.

    •  Wouldn't the logical thing be the other way round? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      madmojo, MichaelNY
      because frankly, considering the way ppl remember the first debate (a bit unfairly but too late to kvetch about that now), it is pretty much baked in the cake in terms of media expectations that he will be better tonight.
      That doesn't make a lot of sense to me. Wouldn't the other way round be more logical? Part of why he was seen to have failed so badly last time was because people were expecting him to do pretty well, and weren't expecting much from Romney. So there was a big surprise factor at work.

      But this time round, Obama set the bar pretty low for himself. People think he really sucked last time, so it should be easy for him to outdo expectations this time. Vice versa, people now think Romney's pretty good at this kind of thing, so anything less than a clear win will be seen as meh.

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