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View Diary: Why Obama is ahead, and by more than you think (96 comments)

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  •  Obama is behind (0+ / 0-)

    regardless of what this analysis says.

    Obama should be winning the message war and be ahead by 10 points against a severe conservative. He is not.

    Romney is offering himself as a gift to America - a trojan horse - as Mitt the Moderate with the severe conservative policies waiting to jump out and surprise the unsuspecting middle class electorate.

    Since the first debate, more people seem willing to stand in line to watch the trojan horse make its way to the White House.

    We should not be spending time trying to make ourselves feel better by doing anything more than taking the polls at face value and realize that the polls show the race is tighter than it really should be.

    •  but... (0+ / 0-)

      One also can't get around the state polls. If Obama is running ahead in Ohio,maybe Virginia and competitive in North Carolina & Florida then he's ahead nationally.
       It's not just one pollster showing this either but really one legit pollster after another.

      •  Ahead by a point (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Odysseus

        is behind where he should be.

        The Ryan plan is very unpopular, not by 49/48.

        2/3 worry that Ryan cuts medicare too much.

        The Ryan plan adds to the deficit for 30 years.

        It is a messaging failure that the race is 49/48 nationally.

        •  there are several polls showing... (0+ / 0-)

          Obama by 4-5 points in Ohio. Rasmussen  & Suffolk show Obama tied in NH so add a few points to Obama considering those two. Further several polls show Obama slightly ahead/tied/competitive in Florida,North Carolina and Virginia. If a GOP candidate is only tied/slightly ahead in those 3 states ,he's in trouble nationwide unless it's the state polls that are off.

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