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View Diary: About that Gallup poll (373 comments)

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  •  I checked nate silver's projected vote share for (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Matt Z

    the Southern states, and Romney only hits greater than 60% in Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Alabama, with his highest number in Alabama at 63.9%.

    Outside of the 3 southern swing states, Obama polls look to be somewhere around 40/45% to Romney's 55/60%.

    Two points--Romney at best is up by 22 in 4 southern states and, I don't think Romney will get 67% or more in any southern state.

    •  sorry for the virtually double post (0+ / 0-)

      it didn't "take" the first time--after 5 minutes I posted it again.

    •  Don't expect those to be... (1+ / 0-)
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      ..."high water marks".

      The combination of GOP voter suppression for purely local concerns (and will have the collateral impact of boosting Romney's vote totals in MS, AL and if I were to guess OK) plus "Voter suppression defense" being a higher priority in VA, NC, and FL will probably push those states much higher for Romney than the polling currently suggests.

      When you are right you cannot be too radical; when you are wrong, you cannot be too conservative. --Martin Luther King Jr.

      by Egalitare on Wed Oct 17, 2012 at 12:40:37 PM PDT

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      •  And for Texas: (0+ / 0-)

        Projected vote share ±4. 0bama  41.5  Romney 58.1;  +16.6

        I'm part of the "bedwetting bunch of website Democrat base people (DKos)." - Rush Limbaugh, 10/16/2012 Torture is Wrong! We live near W so you don't have to. Send love.

        by tom 47 on Wed Oct 17, 2012 at 12:58:50 PM PDT

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