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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Tommy Thompson starts—or maybe stops—hearing things (126 comments)

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  •  Re: Non-response bias (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, itskevin, MBishop1

    My first thought after president Obama's numbers took a dive after Denver was that no way would his supporters abandom him in such proportions because of a sleepy performance at a debate. If I were an Obama voter disappointed by his debate performance (I'm not, I actually liked his performance), I just wouldn't answer a survey about his performance, but I'd still plan to vote for him.

    So, I'd go with the non-response bias theory - if Obama's numbers come back now...

    "The YouGov polls, which contacted the same group of respondents, are potentially suggestive that some of Mr. Romney’s gains since the Denver debate reflect the increased willingness of those who might be inclined to vote for him to participate in surveys, rather than very many Americans having changed their minds."

    "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it's time to pause and reflect." Mark Twain

    by aufklaerer on Thu Oct 18, 2012 at 07:56:07 AM PDT

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