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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: The waiting game begins as Democrats hope for post-debate mojo (293 comments)

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  •  Today was the first sign of the dust settling from (7+ / 0-)

    Debate 1.  The debate helped Romney in FL, VA and NC but he has not posted a lead outside the MOE in a non GOP poll.  In VA, Obama seems to be weathering the storm and his numbers are back in the high 40s and may hit 50% in a week's time.  Need more polling out of FL.  Clearly the early vote is very encouraging for Dems.  We just need to know where the bounce settled and see if there is an Obama surge post 2nd debate in the sunshine state.  Obama's leads in NV, IA and WI seem unaffected.  OH might have tightened by 2-3 points  but Obama appears to have a lead outside the MOE.  NH remains a mystery. Obama seems to be bouncing back in CO where he has led in 4 of the last 5 polls.  Given how well Obama is doing with white voters and indies in the state it would seem to lean towards Obama as we move through to the end of the month.

    One thing I have noticed is that Romney is showing some weak polling numbers outside of Gallup and Ras.  He is in the mid-40's tapping out at 47 in a lot of state polls whereas Obama hits 48-51 more frequently. That almost resembles the type of numbers we were seeing pre-debate season.  

    Obama has a new morning in america message which I think is a timely adjustment to the times and aligns well with economic performance in key battlegrounds like Iowa, Ohio, Virginia and Florida.  Given how well the Dem Senate candidates are holding up in key states, I think Obama is likely to gain votes as we get past debate 3 and head towards the end of the month.

    Alternative rock with something to say:

    by khyber900 on Thu Oct 18, 2012 at 09:01:54 PM PDT

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