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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: The waiting game begins as Democrats hope for post-debate mojo (293 comments)

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  •  Obama's September support was soft (0+ / 0-)

    Obviously the numbers wouldn't have moved as much if Obama had brought his A game to the first debate.  But that's the variable our side controls.  What we can't control is Romney and his backers, who have an indefatigable bloodlust for winning this election.

    Romney's often stumbling summer campaign didn't really let this on, but this guy does not like to lose.  He's been running for president for the last five years and doing little else.  Romney was always going to bring his A game to that first debate, and he was always going to craft his false (yet simplistic and appealing) narrative, and he was always going to relentlessly attack Obama's record.

    So, even if Obama had argued his case a bit more forcefully, a significant percentage of his soft support was always going to fall off once swing voters heard a hard sales pitch from Romney.

    I'm unconvinced by the idea that Obama could have somehow put Romney away in that first debate.  Obama could have prevented 12 point flips in some of the national trackers, but the race was configured to tighten.

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