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View Diary: Abbreviated Pundit Round-up: Quants vs pundits and the state of the race (142 comments)

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  •  I am no (1+ / 0-)
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    quant.  I barely passed most of the quantitative courses I took.  So bear with me with as much patience as possible, please!

    I understand the Rand tracker uses a very different methodology.  Is this the first time they've used it, though?  Is there any track record?

    I am most puzzled by the state of the race in Ohio.  The early voting trend confuses me.  Are these just voters who would have voted anyway on election day?  If so, I am confused by the projections made of greater Democratic enthusiasm and response based on early voting.  I plan to vote early in Illinois, where it won't matter to the presidential race.  But I'd just vote on Nov 6 should something delay me.  If Democrats tend to vote early, how can some conclude that greater Democratic turnout for early voting is indicative of overall Democratic turnout?

    Justice For Will Will spent his brief, courageous life fighting for the rights we all take for granted. Please share his story to support the fight!

    by KibbutzAmiad on Wed Oct 24, 2012 at 04:43:11 AM PDT

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