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View Diary: Abbreviated Pundit Round-up: Quants vs pundits and the state of the race (142 comments)

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  •  national polls were ok in 2008 (1+ / 0-)
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    The RCP average was about a 7% Obama win and that is what he got,. we all knew he would win in a landslide, Gallup had Obama winning by way to much, Rasmussen had it about right.
    This year the polls are all over the place. I think robo polling in 2012 is difficult because so many people are cell phone only.
    Watch gallup starting late next week, if they think Obama may win it will start moving toward Obama.In 2004 they had Bush way up until a few days before the election and then had it tied on election day.

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