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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: In advance of last debate, a huge polling day confirms very little (214 comments)

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  •  Most disappointing poll is CA-21 (0+ / 0-)

    I mean if even Hernandez's only polling has him down 4%, he's probably trailing in this race.  It would truly suck to watch Ami Bera, Jose Hernandez, Julia Brownley, Alan Lowenthal, Mark Takano, Raul Ruiz, and Scott Peters all win only to see John Hernandez lose a Democratic seat.  

    The St. Pete's polls I think have been out before and they seem biased towards the GOP.  Val Demmings seems to be making progress in ehr race.  There are a LOT of competitive races in Florida this year.  Obama would be a fool to listen to Nate Silver.  I think he's going to win the state by more than he did in 2008.  Ditto for Ohio.  

    We're in better position than we realize in VA.  The same is true of NC I think.  If legitimate pollsters give Romney anything less than a 4% lead amongst likely voters heading into election day, Obama has a chance to win the state.  

    Check out my new blog:

    by SoCalLiberal on Mon Oct 22, 2012 at 10:48:41 PM PDT

    •  it wouldn't suck to win all those races (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      NM Ward Chair, wu ming

      it'd put us within spitting distance of the majority.  And I think Hernandez does win before Ruiz.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Mon Oct 22, 2012 at 10:50:49 PM PDT

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      •  If you saw my long expose (0+ / 0-)

        the other day, not if he properly calls out Bono Mack's bullshit on this. It's as fabricated an issue as her "War on Thanksgiving" ridiculousness.

        "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

        by ArkDem14 on Mon Oct 22, 2012 at 11:46:25 PM PDT

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