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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: In advance of last debate, a huge polling day confirms very little (214 comments)

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  •  Early vote numbers (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    distantcousin, jdlas, Supavash

    http://elections.gmu.edu/...

    If you want optimism, note NC and Washoe County, NV.

    Also note weirdly high percentage of young voters in Virginia.

    Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

    by tommypaine on Mon Oct 22, 2012 at 11:55:01 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  weirdly high sounds good right about now (0+ / 0-)

      in both senses of the words

      I remember happy days when most everyone seemed to be weirdly high from time to time . . . in a nice way, of course.

      I'm going to move to Colorado if they pass that initiative - getting sick of the straights and squares.

    •  Comparison with 2008 NV early voting also good! (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      nycvisionary, Supavash

      The percentages from Clark County look almost identical so far. In 2008 it was 52D-31R-17other; in 2012 after the first few days it's 53-31-16. Numbers from Washoe are slightly lower (46-39-15 compared with 47-35-18 in 08) but the early evidence is that Obama is going to be much closer to his 08 performance in Nevada than to losing the state.

      Once again I'm left wondering why Romney is coming to the state - based on these early voting stats he'll be lucky to keep the margin in single figures. He should be concentrating on Ohio, and for the "one other" he would still need: either CO or IA.

      •  Can add that NC early voting numbers (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        nycvisionary

        are also similar to 2008 so far. Party ID is only fractions of a percentage different (in round numbers 51-31 versus 51-30 in 08, and way better than 2004's 49-37), black share is up 4 points, while white share is down 4; youth share is down though, only 10% so far versus 15% last time.

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