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View Diary: O - 49 R - 41, UNH shows Obama bounce in NH (181 comments)

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  •  Maybe the Dems know it is in the bag (0+ / 0-)

    And want to use polls as a way to keep partisans motivated.  The major risk you when you have polls runnin into the high single digits is that your people get cocky and overconfident.  Occasionally throwing in a poll with a narrow lead is a very inexpensive way to keep your troops focused and possibly get the other guy to waste money for a losing proposition.  You can do that with the polls that lean in your direction (part of the same team) and not with the completely independent outfits.

    At this stage of the campaign to get a "true" snapshot of what is happening maybe we should only focus on the truly independent polls like Gallup......maybe not.

    November 6th is a poll I get my hands around.

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