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View Diary: There Was Probably No Debate Bounce - And No Convention Bounce Either (27 comments)

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  •  Yes (2+ / 0-)
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    Chachy, NM Ward Chair

    But not polling averages. Averaging a ton of polls should more or less cancel out the random error, in theory, and leave you only with other polling errors. This increase in the miss rate of the polling averages indicates an increase in the magnitude of polling errors. If we see further degradation this year, that will make a trend...

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