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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Coin flip persists as debate season concludes (367 comments)

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  •  But if all the demograhics are wrong, (3+ / 0-)

    what does it say about the poll? And, in general, SUSA is notorious about understating the black vote for dems.

    The definition of INSANITY: Voting Republican over and over and over and expecting the economy to get better.

    by pollbuster on Tue Oct 23, 2012 at 08:04:21 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  It could be noise (0+ / 0-)

      It could be noise from a small subsample that balances out with noise in the other direction from other small subsamples.
      Or it could mean the poll is crap.

       Again this is exactly why you can't obsess over single polls.
      Just average all of them to get a sense of where things are at and what the trend is. But this isn't an exact science and it serves no purpose to wrack your brain trying to understand the oddities of each poll.

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