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View Diary: Why registered voter screens matter—they've been more accurate (206 comments)

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  •  "if the trend continues, they won't win by as much (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dsmmom, Leap Year, askew

    as last time"

    That there is some fine reporting. I would never have guessed that this would be the case.

    •  Based on the linked article, NC & NV good (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      joemcginnissjr

      as good as 2008 in NC, NV

      Florida is lower than 2008 for Dems, and CO not quite as strong as 2008

      No data on Ohio here - but Chris Matthews just reported that Obama has a 15% lead among early voters in OH - 54 to 39%.

      We don't know how early voting trend will go, but hopefully, any decline in D advantage in early voting in OH will be gradual enough so that Obama is still ahead by at least 5% before election day.  So the advantage has to decline by no more than than 2/3rds of a % each day.

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