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View Diary: Why registered voter screens matter—they've been more accurate (206 comments)

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  •  I think these "likely voter" models are weeding (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell, askew

    out a lot of minorities and young voters.

    If any national poll out there has less than 26% minorities then the poll isn't accurate. 2008 there were 26% minorities who voted.  It is expected to be 28% minorities in 2012.

    Many of these "likely voter" models have 20-22% minorities and thus are more like a 2010 electorate rather than a 2012 electorate.

    President Obama, January 9, 2012: "Change is hard, but it is possible. I've Seen it. I've Lived it."

    by Drdemocrat on Tue Oct 23, 2012 at 04:28:10 PM PDT

    •  Gallup announced a big change in polling method (0+ / 0-)

      recently (did anyone notice this news item?)

      and immediately afterwards, Romney shot into a 6% lead in Gallup among LV.

      •  No offense (0+ / 0-)

        But this is old news ; we have had no shortage of discussions on Daily Kos about that when it happened.

        I vote Democratic because I am a woman with self-respect , who rejects bigotry of all kinds, subscribes to science, believes in universal health care, embraces unions, and endorses smart internationalist foreign policy.

        by Delilah on Tue Oct 23, 2012 at 07:18:09 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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