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View Diary: Race Was Always This Close (16 comments)

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  •  How can Obama have a 51% approval rating (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    wishingwell, Supavash

    But yet he is trailing by 5 in Gallup? I just don't get it.

    •  President Obama is very Likeable (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Supavash, Micheline

      But median wages have stagnated/declined, and Romney, after the first debate, has come across as a viable alternative.

      President Obama is still the favorite (Intrade has him at 56.5), but if things don't work out, it's going to be b/c of wages.

      And there is so much the Dems could have done to address this.

      But too many of them were too afraid to do so, because of the "deficit".

      Meanwhile, the bond market, pricing 10-year debt at 1.76%, as low as it's been since the Eisenhower administration, certainly doesn't see a debt or deficit problem.

      Learn about Centrist Economics, learn about Robert Rubin's Hamilton Project. www.hamiltonproject.org

      by PatriciaVa on Tue Oct 23, 2012 at 04:58:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Forget Gallup - Obama is winning on the ground (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Arnie, Larsstephens, ybruti, wishingwell

      This is the greatest ground organization in the history of politics. Don't take my word for it - go to the 2008 battle ground state polls and see Obama outperform the average of those polls on election day by 2 to 3 percent. In almost every heavily contested State.

      Trust the Obama team. These are the people that beat Hillary Clinton (and she is 10 times the candidate Romney is) with a methodical GOTV.

      Trust the Obama team. These are the same people that registered thousands upon thousands of new voters in swing States in 2008, and they did the same thing this time around.

      It is a close election, but OFA will win it on the ground.

    •  Economic realities. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ybruti, VClib

      Likability and approval doesn't keep the collection calls away.  They don't bring the grocery store bill down.  They don't change anything about the cash crunch that everyone in this country (save for a handful of super-rich people) are feeling.

      I like to think that the Democratic Party is basically reality-based.  If we really are, we should not be surprised that people are looking for "change" right now - even if they think that they have the best possible option working for them.  They want to do better.  I can't say that I would ever want to tamp down that desire.  I'd just like for it to be easier to point to the Democrats including the current President to say that they can with their leadership.  The record to date is mixed and we all know it.  

      Of course, it is not the tragedy that McCain or Romney represent, but it is not what we could honestly call "victory", either.  Obama needs to offer some victory, imo.  That's a bit more involved than 5,6,7,8-point plans that I have to read.  That's VISION.

      No one will ever read this outside of a small few and many will be grateful for that, but I contend that we are here now because we need MORE from this White House.  More than incremental change that doesn't keep up with dramatic destructive change that has assaulted most American's lives over the past 12 years.

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