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View Diary: why we all should chill, courtesy of Politico (204 comments)

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  •  But Romney really does have momentum and I don't (0+ / 0-)

    Think we should e brushing that aside. I don't want any suprises on Election Day. I'm humdinger on to these electoral maps for some positivity and hope, I just hope it actually remains true.

    "I'm not mad at them (tea party) for being loud, I'm mad at us for being silent for the last two years. Where have we been"? "it was never yes HE can, it was Yes WE can". - Van Jones

    by sillycilla on Wed Oct 24, 2012 at 08:16:51 AM PDT

    •  actually he does not (9+ / 0-)

      3 national polls out today all have movement towards Obama

      PPP tracking has moved from Romney up to even

      Reuters has moved from even to Obama up

      Rand tracking has moved from Obama +2 to Obama +4.

      Yesterday Gallup moved from Romney +6 to Romney +5, and that was without any data from Tuesday polling.

      So where is the momentum FOR Romney?

      "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

      by teacherken on Wed Oct 24, 2012 at 08:27:41 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  he had some after the first debate (0+ / 0-)

      That lasted up until the VP debate and was clearly gone by the 2nd debate. At that point, the race pretty much stabilized to its pre-convention equilibrium (see Sam Wang at Princeton Election Consortium). But Romney's momentum was most pronounced in national polls and he never overtook the President in the battleground states.

      Now, as teacherken shows with his comment above, we're see definite movement back in the President's direction. Could be a post-2nd debate bounce. Whatever it is, in such a tight race, now is the time to peak.

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