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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Muddled messages about the post-debate electoral state of play (330 comments)

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  •  Iowa, too (0+ / 0-)

    Obama seems to such an early voting advantage that there'd have to be some sort of horrible Dem gaffe to have Romney make up enough election day votes.

    •  4.5% below 2008 #s (0+ / 0-)

      But more Iowans have requested a ballot than in 2008, so Romney has fewer voters to tap.

      4.5% is not enough to swing the state, Obama would still lead by 3-5 points in such a scenario (he won by almost 10 last time)

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