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View Diary: Nate Silver has updated (199 comments)

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  •  5 years later, the MSM still refuses to get it (6+ / 0-)

    What Nate said comments to that diary:

    I have not seen discussion of this Electoral Math anywhere else.
    And five years later, he is still about the only person talking about it.

    Since the first debate this year, I've been talking friends down from the ledge by explaining the importance of the Electoral College to them.   And thankfully, I can point them to Nate's web site where they should really keep track of what's important, not the national poll horse race distraction.

    •  The Princeton Election Consortium (6+ / 0-)

      is also very good on the Electoral College - Dr. Wang was only one electoral vote off the 2008 final tally.

      The spirit of liberty is the spirit which is not too sure that it is right. -- Judge Learned Hand, May 21, 1944

      by ybruti on Wed Oct 24, 2012 at 10:42:59 PM PDT

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      •  I prefer it to Nate. They are both great but (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        Princeton shows you can take a 'simpler' approach and still be effective without all the pseudo-punditry and weighing this that and the other, economic factors (really?), blah blah blah.

        If I knew it was going to be that kind of party, I'd have stuck my ---- in the mashed potatoes! - Paul's Boutique

        by DoctorWho on Wed Oct 24, 2012 at 11:23:11 PM PDT

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    •  Yeah, it frustrates me when people fight facts. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      I don't like the electoral college.  I would rather a national popular vote, make the deep blue (and deep red, but especially deep blue) states relevant again.  But facts are facts and these national temperature-taking polls that don't account for the electoral college vote frustrate me.

      If the polls are to be believed, it's quite possible that Obama could lose the popular vote and win the EC.  I don't like that system (and I think he could win the PV by running his numbers up in California and NY, but there's no point in doing that today), but them's the rules and it's the EC that's going close this show.  The PV and national polls are interesting but irrelevant.

      I wonder - did anyone focus on state-by-state polls before the 2000 fiasco like smart people do today?  I was too young to pay attention to that in '96.

      "The first drawback of anger is that it destroys your inner peace; the second is that it distorts your view of reality. If you come to understand that anger is really unhelpful, you can begin to distance yourself from anger." - The Dalai Lama

      by auron renouille on Wed Oct 24, 2012 at 10:43:05 PM PDT

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