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View Diary: Do Polls Drive the Narrative, or Does the Narrative Drive the Narrative (53 comments)

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  •  I would take issue (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sphealey

    with the term "liberal unskewers".  Unskewedpolls,com is a joke in terms of methodology.  That sight "reweights" raw polling data to fit their preconceived assumptions about party ID, all while claiming the actual polls are using a "2008 turnout model".  Which they're not; the sample data was simply showing a greater party ID gap that the Republicans wanted.

    Maybe some liberals are trying to do the opposite, I dunno.  But there is no left-leaning Rasmussen mirror who dumps their lazy, no-cell-phone, no-callback, arbitrarily-weighted results all over the polling composites.

    I was curious about RCP in particular, since they're quoted so often.  They still haven't put up the inconvenient VA PPP poll that shows O+.  Their "5 most recent" average is a Ras-fest with the similarly red-tinged ARG and only one decent poll.  Ras especially is keeping their sampling method as R-friendly as possible (it helps that it's also the easiest method) while staying just shy of the shifting obvious bias threshold.  They can't afford to get rated last again after 2010.

    •  His site is hysterical... (0+ / 0-)

      Romney will win PA, alot of people will be surprised by this.

      Romney will win NJ, alot of people will be surprised by this.

      Romney will win MN, alot of people will  be surprised by this.

      Romney will win OR, alot of people will be surprised by this.

      (This is literally the depth of his analysis.)

      etc etc etc...

      His current EC is 179 - 349, Romney.

      The GOP believe in redistribution of wealth, as long as it's from the many to the few.

      by president raygun on Fri Oct 26, 2012 at 07:31:57 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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