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View Diary: Do Polls Drive the Narrative, or Does the Narrative Drive the Narrative (53 comments)

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  •  And they underassumed LV turnout (1+ / 0-)
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    bontemps2012

    I was flabbergasted by this.  They presumed LV turnout at 79%.  Historical LV turnout would be more like in the 85% range.  A great turnout would be approaching 90%.  Take a guess who would benefit by increased turnout......

    They asked voters if  they were certain to vote, would probably vote, 50/50 chance, etc.  And excluded those people who would probably vote.

    Garbage in/garbage out.

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