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View Diary: Thursday Swing State Polls Analysis: FL, VA, WI, IA, NC, NV, CO, National (81 comments)

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  •  Not so sure (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KJB Oregon, progresso, elwior, ferg, flatford39

    Look at this graph from Nate Silver:

    Image Hosted by

    That's his electoral vote projection, and it has hardly budged for two weeks. It's the same for his popular vote projection.

    I've been pushing this idea lately, because I think it's important: nobody is "bouncing" anywhere (though today's Obama numbers were very good indeed). The race has solidified. Those lines have settled slightly in Obama's favor, and are going sideways.

    Once again, Republicans show there is no fact that they feel the need to learn. ~ Fordmandalay

    by MeMeMeMeMe on Thu Oct 25, 2012 at 06:14:27 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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