Skip to main content

View Diary: SCSU Poll MN: O53 - R45 (23 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Obama's polling leads are stronger in WI (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Pierro Sraffa

    than in OH.

    Now, obviously I don't know what Romney's internal polls are telling him.  They may be telling him that flipping independents in a corner of a state that Obama is leading more strongly than OH will win it for him.  But I highly doubt that.

    My point is that, based on the publicly available data, Romney's  going to have to do a lot more than advertise in one area of WI.  Problem is, he's losing both OH and WI.  I know Romney's a world-class shitter, but even he can't park himself in two places at once.

    Have you googled Romney today?

    by fou on Sat Oct 27, 2012 at 09:15:25 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Ohio has been saturated. There is probably (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      little return at the margins for increased spending in OH, whereas WI hasn't been hit as hard.

      I would agree that it doesn't make a lot of sense to spend 30K or whatever.  Maybe it is message testing for a larger buy later in the week.  

      Romney's EC path was always narrow.  If he loses OH it is still possible (incredibly narrow and unlikely) for Romney to win, but he'd absolutely have to have WI.  He can't win the EC if he loses NV, WI, and OH.  WI may be to Romney what PA was to McCain.

      "The attack on the truth by war begins long before war starts and continues long after a war ends." -Julian Assange

      by Pierro Sraffa on Sat Oct 27, 2012 at 09:30:10 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I agree that OH has been saturated. (0+ / 0-)

        I doubt though that WI can be won on the air in under 10 days when Obama has an average lead of ~3%.

        Have you googled Romney today?

        by fou on Sat Oct 27, 2012 at 09:39:16 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site