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View Diary: Silver: Ohio is Not a Toss-Up (Right Now) (210 comments)

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  •  There's a big difference between (6+ / 0-)

    how Obama is polling in Ohio right now and how Kerry was in 2004. For starters, Obama has had a lead in virtually every single poll taken there this year, with a few ties thrown in. In 2004, while there were some polls at this time showing Kerry +6, +4, and +2 there were others showing Bush +5, +4, +2. In other words, there was no consensus, no obvious trend in favor of one candidate or another - until the last weekend of the campaign when that Bin Laden video came out and Bush took the lead in 9 of the last 10 polls.

    •  Keep watching (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Churchill

      the polls.  Just now someone posted a new one - tied in OH.

      You'll see it all over the place in the next few days.  

      Why is it that a 3% tax increase for the wealthy is considered "socialism" and an 8% wage cut for the middle class is "doing your part"? MartyM

      by delphine on Sun Oct 28, 2012 at 12:04:09 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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