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View Diary: Romney's First Debate Good Enough to Overcome DNC Convention, 2nd and 3rd Debate? (58 comments)

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  •  My take is that.................................. (3+ / 0-)

    there were a large number of "undecided" voters who were looking for an excuse, any excuse, to vote for Willard rather than Obama. Most are closet racists who have a gut fear of blacks in a position of power despite knowing it is wrong or centrist or moderate Rethugs who are not racists and who don't subscribe to the rest of the right-wing-nut agenda.

    Back in the summer they were polling as undecided, Lean Obama or lean Romney. The first debate locked those people up for RMoney. BHO's pitiful performance and RMoney's appearance of reasonableness, despite the barrage of lies, gives them cover to not vote for Obama.  Further, they, baring a major, major; blunder by Mittens will never swing back our way.

    However, the post-first-debate swing toward Willard represents not only these former “undecideds” but also an uptick in enthusiasm in Rethugs and a depression in Democratic enthusiasm.  It appears to me, though, that the polling the week after the first debate is Mitten’s high water mark.  A bounce that is being slowly eroded over time and is being marginally reversed by the VP and Second debates.  However, the bounce has provided Willard a tie or slight lead in the popular vote that may hold to election day.

    It is a tight race and there is no question that it is going to come down to GOTV in the key battleground states.  I agree, however, that the POTUS has an edge in the Electoral College that Willard will be hard pressed to overcome.

    The mass of men lead lives of quiet desperation--HDT

    by cazcee on Sat Oct 27, 2012 at 05:59:54 PM PDT

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