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View Diary: Second Independent Poll Confirms- Nebraska Senate Race "A Dead Heat"! (34 comments)

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  •  not to look ahead or anything (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Woody

    52 D Senate essentially means republican senate in 2014.  Without looking at who might retire/what individuals are better candidates, etc.
    Offense: ME?
    Defense: AK, MT, SD, AR, LA, WV, NC, VA, IA, CO, MN

    Maybe if there are no retirements, the Dems can hold their losses to 1-2 seats would be a miracle.  Particularly AK/SD/WV.  Of course miracle holds/wins do happen as we may see this cycle[though if the Dems only end up at 52 than not so much].  If they can get to 55, they can realistically hang on until the much more favorable 2016 map.

    •  Not that I'd want that, but (0+ / 0-)

      Remember, if Obama is president from 2015-17, at least we have veto power. And then in 2016 the Dems will have lots of seats from the 2010 bloodbath to take back, while the GOP will have extremely few plausible targets. Point being, if we do lose the senate in '14, it probably won't be for long.

      Certaines personnes disent qu'il y a une femme à blâmer, Mais je sais que c'est ma faute sacrément.

      by RamblinDave on Sun Oct 28, 2012 at 12:22:42 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  A number of those Senate seats should be fine (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      pistolSO

      The Senate race in VA in 2014 should be a lock for Democrats.  Mark Warner is a great Senator, bipartisan and was extremely popular as Governor of Virginia.  He should win easily.

      The Senate race in MN in 2014 should be safe Democrat.  Al Franken has been rather effective as Senator (I've seen You Tube videos and I'm impressed) and the only reason why he had such a tough battle with Norm Coleman was not simply the recount but also Franken had to convince the Paul Wellstone Democrats to come to his side.  Now that Franken's favorite Democrat (Wellstone of course) still is loved by a number of Minnesotans, I don't see any reason why there should be any worry for Franken to be re-elected.

    •  The Tennessee Waste (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      pistolSO

      No name Democrat wanted to run in Tennessee this year, sure that they'd lose.

      If Kerrey can win in Nebraska, dammit, Somebody would have a good chance in Tennessee.

      But we got worse than Nobody. Some Dude paid the filing fee and won the empty primary, then opened his mouth and Everybody regretted it.

      Part of Howard Dean's 50-state strategy when he was running the Democratic National Committee was to run a candidate in every race. Because you just never know.

      The wisdom of that policy is also being demonstrated in Tennessee, where thank god we DO have a good candidate on the ballot against Desjarlais, the Repub incumbent who got famous when the tapes revealed him insisting that his girl friend/patient must get an abortion.

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