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View Diary: AP Analysis: Obama is poised to win the election (263 comments)

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  •  I'm going out on a limb here (2+ / 0-)
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    TheDuckManCometh, OleHippieChick

    I think the election will be called for Obama 15 minutes after the polls close out west.  

    I think the woman's vote will break for Obama and the Hispanic vote will break the same in Florida.  

    In my opinion, it was game over when the GOP was exposed as the radical, and just plain nutty, extremists they are when it comes to women.  Mitt's disrespect and condescension towards Obama will hurt in Florida and with many Hispanics still undecided and not completely committed to the GOP.  Put Florida in the Obama win column.  

    As a matter of fact, my guess tells me this election isn't even close.  I base this on the unofficial hairdressers/deli counter poll.  People are talking politics.  Anecdotal evidence may not be completely reliable, but it is a pretty good indication something is going on.  

    •  How predictive (1+ / 0-)
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      has the hairdressers/deli counter poll been historically?

      •  Well (0+ / 0-)

        It accurately predicted the 1992 election when Daddy Bush was almost assured of victory by the conventional wisdom.  

        It also accurately predicted the 2008 election when McCain was still slightly ahead.  

        I joke about that "poll".  But people talk and sometimes listening is better than the conventional wisdom.  

        We'll see.  

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