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View Diary: Why Nate Silver is UNDERestimating Obama's Chances (29 comments)

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  •  2 more reasons maybe (0+ / 0-)

    1.he takes all  polls, Wang  takes the median.   Nate's model  more vulnerable to  outliers (like M-D giving R+6 in FL)

    2. he takes demographics into account, i think the majority white pop of most states makes it a (slightly) harder burden for state polls to show O in the lead.

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