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View Diary: President Obama Retakes Lead In National Tracking Poll - First Debate Effect Fades (31 comments)

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  •  The Weekly Standard is reporting this differently (1+ / 0-)
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    New Projection of Election Results: Romney 52, Obama 47

    Politico reports on the poll's top-line: Obama 49, Romney 48 percent. But it is the noteworthy last paragraph from Goeas's memo that we're referring to: "In sum, this data indicates this election remains very close on the surface, but the political environment and the composition of the likely electorate favor Governor Romney. These factors come into play with our “vote election model” – which takes into account variables like vote intensity, voters who say they are definite in their vote, and demographics like age and education. In that snapshot of today’s vote model, Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama by five-points – 52% to 47%. While that gap can certainly be closed by the ground game of the Democrats, reports from the field would indicate that not to be the case, and Mitt Romney may well be heading to a decisive victory."
    I thought that polls were snapshots of voter attitudes at the moment of polling, not projections of the future.

    "The Obama Administration has been an unmitigated disaster" - Osama Bin Laden

    by Explorer8939 on Mon Oct 29, 2012 at 08:39:57 AM PDT

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