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View Diary: Climate Change Deniers: How They Think and How We Should Think About Them (147 comments)

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  •  Hurricane Sandy IS part of a long-term trend (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    And here's more:

    Weather Gone Wild

    This too:

    Connect The Dots

    •  No. (0+ / 0-)

      Again, it's not a justified conclusion. Statistical variance exists, there have always been big storms, natural disasters. It is scientifically illiterate to try to tie an individual weather event at the time to climate change.

      What would be legitimate would be, after the fact, to take a number of individual events, and say, overall, this set of points as a whole shows a trend, with that trend explaining part of the variance in the weather outcomes. I didn't click through the link, but I presume that's what your connect the dots link is about.

      Note however this is different from what we're talking about here. Even when you see a trend in retrospect,  the trend does not completely determine all the individual weather events. There is always the "random" part of the variation.

      That's why you can't say any individual storm is caused by global warming / global cooling / climate change / butterfly flapping in Africa / etc.

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