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View Diary: Cook: 'Clear Lead' for Obama in WI & NV ; NC & FL 'even money' (90 comments)

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  •  Leave Charlie Cook alone (5+ / 0-)

    Listen, he doesn't put states in one's column until there is literally a zero chance of an upset.

    OH, NH, and IA are still close.

    When we were ahead, people at DailyKos said to fight like we were behind. When we were behind, people at DailyKos said to give up.

    by NoFortunateSon on Tue Oct 30, 2012 at 03:20:26 PM PDT

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    •  I don't know. (1+ / 0-)
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      More Questions Than Answers

      The race in Ohio seems static with the President having a poll aggregate 2+% lead. I know that's a smaller number, but the data is less noisy because there have been so many polls.

      A 2% lead in a race as heavily polled as that is probably more certain than a 5% lead in WI or NV, or even NH or IA.

      For that reason, I'm pretty sure Ohio is blue.

      GOP: The Party of Acid rain, Abortion of the American Dream, and Amnesty for Wall Street.

      by Attorney at Arms on Tue Oct 30, 2012 at 03:39:13 PM PDT

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