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View Diary: Princeton Election Consortium - a technical announcement (199 comments)

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  •  hi Sam, I'm a pal of another meta-analyst (0+ / 0-)

    That would be Darryl, at

    As of 10/29, he had the EV numbers at 303-235. However, he made a mistake in that most recent run, reversing the poll numbers in Tennessee. Thus, it's actually 292-246. The reason he hasn't corrected the error is that he was taken ill while completing his post, and is currently hospitalized. Bad timing for that, but it pales next to Sandy.

    Like you, Darryl doesn't muddy the waters with idiosyncratic weightings and extraneous variables. Like you, Darryl publishes his methodology in detail (his FAQ). Unlike you, he does his Monte Carlo simulations using a binomial distribution.

    Labor is prior to, and independent of, capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration. -- K.Marx A.Lincoln

    by N in Seattle on Thu Nov 01, 2012 at 01:16:53 AM PDT

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