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View Diary: Cue the crappy GOP Pollsters: Wenzel Strategies OH - 49 R - 46 O (84 comments)

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  •  It is in because that's the way they do the (0+ / 0-)

    Poll Tracker. You can't pick and choose which polls to exclude just because it looks wonky. TPM established an 'all polls in' methodology. You may not like it but you can't say there is no rhyme or reason. The methodology is clearly stated.

    You fell victim to one of the classic blunders, the most famous of which is "Never get involved in a land war in Asia".

    by yellowdog on Thu Nov 01, 2012 at 11:28:34 AM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  the way they do the poll tracker is flawed (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      They exclude several Obama internet polls that are quite accurate.

      Huffington post includes them.

    •  I meant the results fly around way too much (0+ / 0-)

      Probably should have worded it better.  You're right, there is a clear methodology.

      But, to me it's a bit insane.  Way too sensitive, especially to single, very current polls.  So you get  situations where a clearly bogus poll makes an enormous impact on the margins.  And I'm not just saying that about the Wenzel OH poll.  The inclusion of the O+3 High Point national poll changed the national poll average significantly.  A single garbage poll should not do that.


    •  No, they exclude polls on an editorial basis (0+ / 0-)

      Check Ohio, for example.  The Pharos poll has two asterisks next to it, which means it was excluded "for editorial reasons."  Polls like Reuters-Ipsos are automatically excluded.  So no, it's not an "all polls in" methodology.

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