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View Diary: NC Early Voting Day 16: Obama is Crushing Romney with Sporadic, Unlikely, and New Registrant Voters (119 comments)

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  •  I feel great after reading MattTX (6+ / 0-)

    Fuck Ohio and concentrate on NC. This could be a sleeper for obama just in case Ohio & Wisconsin goes to the wingnuts.

    My spirits are coming back up again. Thank you..thnk you..thank you..MattTX.

    •  That's why Obama is in NC (17+ / 0-)

      It's a completely different dynamic than in a state like Ohio.

      In Ohio it is all about persuading swing voters.

      In NC it is all about turnout.

      If swing voters don't come through, turnout can, and vice versa.

      •  NC is so inelastic! (7+ / 0-)

        The Democrats are mostly African Americans, liberal white voters in Charlotte + Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill and Hispanics. The Republicans mostly are the white rural evangelical Christians and the exurban conservatives.

        As for Ohio though, there are so many persuadable white working class voters there.

        I was making calls to Ohio today though and a fellow volunteer said, "I talked to someone who works at a GM plant. There are thousands of other workers there and they are all voting for Obama because he saved their jobs and kids!" It was really inspiring.

        For more election analysis and redistricting maps, check out my blog CA-2 (former CA-6) College in CA-37

        by Alibguy on Sat Nov 03, 2012 at 07:26:28 PM PDT

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      •  Romney might have eased up in NC... (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Alibguy, sacrelicious, IM, highacidity

        The R team may have already taken NC for granted at this point, with the polls showing them ahead, and with hundreds of thousands of GOP early voters.

        But if they were so far ahead, then the early voting data should show them drawing even - which they haven't done despite expending a lot of their LVs already.

        As this report suggests, many of the Dem LVs have yet to vote, and so the margin in early voting may hold up.

        If team R has let down its guard at the last minute, team D may have the advantage for a come from behind type of victory.

        Go NC Dems!!

    •  OH still does matter a lot and here is why ... (9+ / 0-)

      Obama has a very tangible and real life story to tell to Ohioans.
      He rescued their jobs ... against his opponent, who wanted their jobs shipped overseas.
      He had her back in a very concrete example. And OH is ripping the benefits of that today.

      In NC, the jobless rate has been higher than the rest of the country. The Governor is unpopular. The demographics changes do favor Obama some, but Romney was able to counter that by joining forces with Billy Graham. (It was assumed that Evangelicals wouldn't come out for a Mormon).

      Obama's play in NC would have been really only demographics. And sometimes these things really back fire.

      If NC had been OH, where these politicians have basically camped now for weeks, Obama would have been in deep deep trouble.  But the fact that NC has really been in the shadow of everything else has been a massive advantage for Obama. OFA in NC can be very focus. Airwaves are not bombarded like OH, although there is still lots of ads here for everyone's taste. Everyone is giving the state to Romney already...

      Don't forget to register to vote here:

      by bepanda on Sat Nov 03, 2012 at 06:08:09 PM PDT

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