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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: As outside money finally flows in, Akin revisits abortion & rape (199 comments)

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  •  figure the undecided go with Romney (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, wishingwell, Sylv

    That theory is thoroughly disproven and  most likely they break fairly even. I think they are right about Obama having a ceiling of about 51%. He got around 53% in a blowout landslide.
    I think Romney's upside is no better than 50% No way in hell he gets 52% with the polls the way they are.

    •  I don't agree. (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JBraden, LordMike, wishingwell, Sylv, askew

      Let's remember that when OFA was polling, at least before the first debate, they were subtracting two points from his totals because they couldn't believe the electorate was that Democratic. That might have changed and/or might not be the reality on election day, but it wouldn't surprise me if it's true, particularly since our base is heavily dependent on nonwhites.

      Then there's our turnout operation.

      Will he get 57 percent? No. But if we are to believe that Obama is winning, would it really be surprising that he gets an extra point or two? Not to me.

      "The election of Mitt Romney and a supporting congress this November would be a...disaster for America. Think of the trainwreck that has been the Conservative government in Britain since 2010. And square it."--Brad DeLong

      by bjssp on Fri Nov 02, 2012 at 06:36:29 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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