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View Diary: GOP hack Rasmussen: O 48% - R 48% (30 comments)

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  •  Yes, but they DO tell us how they view the (1+ / 0-)
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    Bull Schmitt

    month's party ID.  They adjust on ever first of the month, and then run with it the rest of the month.   I think in October they had it at R +2.5%.  Given that Republicans have never actually been ahead in party ID (they tied twice, in 2004 and 2010, every other year Democrats had the edge) that seemed like mere wishful thinking.   Not sure what they have now, as of the first of this month, but probably a similarly confounding R+ number.  

    That is the number unskewed runs with.  Nevermind that many pollsters don't adjust their screen to a predetermined party ID, they just ask and then report their findings (party ID surges are often results of major national events, or successful conventions and the like.)   So, if a given poll shows D +8, then they just apply the R +2.5 math to that and get the desired result.   These people are basically playing to the uninformed and ignorant, which the right-wing has a ton of.  

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