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View Diary: The New Nate Silver Column is up and Again Tells Us Why Obama Is Favored (29 comments)

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  •  Why they stick to the tossup meme? (1+ / 0-)
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    deanarms

    Because even though the margin is wide, they can often argue that it is still inside the margin for error and thus a tossup...despite the fact that multiple polls, averaged out, as Nate does, sustain the data documenting an existing gap

    Because they continually ignore the Electoral College and instead look for polls seeking to measure the two candidates in terms of popular vote.  That is much closer than most swing states so....Horserace!!!! (even though the popular vote will NOT select the winner.)

    And of course because, you want to keep viewers by making them think that it is a race to the finish and razor thin all the way.  You don't want viewers who think the thing is already over.  

    Hey...I see it here every day on the innertubes.  

    I have given to progressive candidates, so I get their e-mails asking for more and almost invariably, they are telling me it is neck and neck and they need my money right now.  

    In many cases, the polls actually show them with a commanding lead, but they need the narrative that it's really really close and every donated dollar right now is the difference between life and death.  

    I don't blame them for trying, but it is clear what is happening and why.

    Free markets would be a great idea, if markets were actually free.

    by dweb8231 on Fri Nov 02, 2012 at 12:01:37 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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