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View Diary: A supposedly objective take on Nate Silver; worth the read (56 comments)

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  •  Well, he also noticeably underestimated (3+ / 0-)
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    kyril, grover, real world chick

    the number of Republican pickups in the House by quite a bit (between a 1/3 and 1/6 chance of what they ended up getting.)  I'm willing to cut a lot of slack for House races because they're the hardest to gather data for - consider how many times an individual district might be polled at all - but it's nonetheless worth adding as a data point.  

    Republicans are clinging to that for dear life, because it was his biggest miss and it was skewed against them.  But the reasons for that miss and that skew have nothing to do with the metrics of a Presidential election.  They're drowning and clutching at the wrong straws.

    Still... not taking anything for granted on election day.

    Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce

    by pico on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 10:02:02 AM PST

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