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View Diary: Final pre-election Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation poll: Obama 50-48 (108 comments)

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  •  I think 51.2% for Obama (0+ / 0-)

    to 47.6% for Romney sounds about right.

    I'm going to stick with my early year prediction of 347-191 in the electoral college though I have my doubts about North Carolina at this point.

    In the Senate
    King in Maine
    Warren in Mass
    Kaine in Virginia
    Nelson in Florida
    Donnelly in Indiana
    Stabenow in Michigan
    Baldwin in Wisconisn
    McCaskill in Missouri
    Heitkamp in North Dakota
    Tester in Montana
    R - Fischer in Nebraska
    R - Heller in Nevada
    R - Flake in Arizona

    leading to a 2 seat pick-up and a 55-45 margin in the Senate.

    We need 25 seats in the House and I'm guessing we get 12-15 of them but sadly miss out on a return of Speaker Pelosi. But I believe it sets us up nicely for a Democratic pick-up of the House in the 2014 mid-terms so take Wednesday off to enjoy the victory but Thursday get back to work on the two-fold task of winning the House in 2014 and on pushing Obama and congressional Democrats Forward... and more to the left!

    "Do what you can with what you have where you are." - Teddy Roosevelt

    by Andrew C White on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 10:47:07 AM PST

    •  I hope to gawd both Tester and Heitkamp will eek (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Andrew C White, milton333

      it out, but I think only Tester has a real chance to do it.

      Unforunately, now looks like recent polling hasn't been going Heitkamps way - and that started right after I sent her some money.  Maybe I was bad luck for her.  :-(

      That said, when you consider that 23 of the 33 Senate seats were 21 Dems and 2 Inds,  I consider it a huge victory if we maintain our current 53 advantage.

      Then we gotta work our asses off in 2014 to keep the majority, when 20 of 33 Senators up for re-election are Dems.

      The work is never done, eh?

    •  2d term midtem election bad for president (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Andrew C White

      Historically, 2d term presidents have a tough last two years and their party tends to lose seats in Congress.  Of course, the fun is in the excepptions (like 1998) to let's hope!

      •  Traditionally... that's true (0+ / 0-)

        but these are... interesting times... we live in.

        I doubt if Republicans spend another 2 years as obstructionists that the America people will look kindly upon them in 2014.

        "Do what you can with what you have where you are." - Teddy Roosevelt

        by Andrew C White on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 12:19:00 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

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