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View Diary: Final battleground snapshot, and my predictions! (297 comments)

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  •  Some of them admit themselves that (0+ / 0-)

    there just aren't enough angry White men anymore to win elections. It is both a matter of diversity and age. The fraction of Whites is in decline, and younger voters are falling away from the old racism and bigotry in large numbers. The shift in the electorate as a whole takes a lifetime, but we can already see the day when Texas and Arizona are in play again just from the increasing Latino populations, and increased registration and voting among the existing Latino populations. Maybe 2016, but certainly by 2020.

    Also, there are more Democrats than Republicans, but Democrats don't vote as reliably. I diaried in August about the fact that if we voted in the same proportions, we could have something like a 68-32 Senate.

    Obama's commanding lead—among non-voters

    A lot of bright people are working on how to motivate our base for 2014. If we can crack that nut, it's over for the national Republican Party.

    America—We built that!

    by Mokurai on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 06:29:44 AM PST

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