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View Diary: Romney Internals spell DOOM (for Romney) (24 comments)

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  •  McCain's internals from 10/28/08 (9+ / 0-)

    From the McCain '08 pollster, a few days before that election:

    The McCain campaign has made impressive strides over the last week of tracking.

    The campaign is functionally tied across the battleground states … with our numbers IMPROVING sharply over the last four tracks.

    The key number in our mind is Senator Obama’s level of support and the margin difference between the two candidates.

    As other public polls begin to show Senator Obama dropping below 50% and the margin over McCain beginning to approach margin of error with a week left, all signs say we are headed to an election that may easily be too close to call by next Tuesday.

    Newhouse could have save himself the time and just copied and pasted from this old memo.
    •  also this: (3+ / 0-)
      I am becoming increasingly persuaded it will be very difficult for Senator Obama to perform much above his percentage of the vote in a state. This puts any number of historically red states very much “in play” and MUCH more competitive than is generally believed by the media. But critically, as Obama drops below 50% in other blue states, some of these states may also becoming back in play as well.
      Basically the same line of bs that the Romney camp is pushing: the President won't do better than the 47-49% he gets in some polls, even if he's consistently led.

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