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View Diary: Nate gives Fla to Obama (101 comments)

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  •  Could be a lot of things. (2+ / 0-)
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    LordMike, JDRhoades

    The most recent Florida polls he's got (they favor Romney) have low coefficients; meaning that he doesn't weight them as much. The "adjusted polls" favor Obama slightly, but this can mean all sorts of things. National numbers can effect Florida's odds a bit, as other stuff that goes into the formula like the Dow.

    Then again, you shouldn't be thrilled anyway...52.5% means very little. Odds moving above 50% may make for a psychological triumph, but we're only getting one shot at this, and that means anything can happen.

    “Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.” - Hanlon's Razor

    by Mister Black on Mon Nov 05, 2012 at 07:22:26 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

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