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View Diary: Possible Obama electoral landslide in the making if we complete our GOTV efforts (26 comments)

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  •  a 0.5% chance of winning is basically nothing (0+ / 0-)

    Nate's model includes things beyond polls. It's lovely and useful, but that particular number doesn't do much for me.

    Sam Wang's prediction model ties the percentage to the polls. As he has said, unless the polls are uniformly biased for Obama (across the entire spectrum of polling, from R to D), Obama will win.

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