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View Diary: Election Night liveblog #20 (434 comments)

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  •  So you are NotGeorgeWill, but are you (1+ / 0-)
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    Nate Silver?

    "I believe more women should carry guns. I believe armed women will make the world a better place. Women need to come to think of themselves not as victims but as dangerous." Anna Pigeon

    by glorificus on Tue Nov 06, 2012 at 08:09:44 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  A poor man's Nate Silver! (1+ / 0-)
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      My methodology is not nearly as rigorous as Silvers.  But it's a nice quick and somewhat accurate way of seeing outcomes before the networks are willing to make the calls.  I'm still curious to see how the 80K number holds up.  With about 4 percent of the vote still being counted it looks like I'm about 25K off right now, but most of the votes outstanding are in Dem-leaning and Dem-heavy precincts, so the finally tally will probably be at least another 10K votes in Obama's column.  Maybe another 15K-20K.

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