Skip to main content

View Diary: Can we give Nate Silver his due? (268 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  Amen! (10+ / 0-)

    Props go to Sam Wang as well.  HE has had a better (slightly) track record than Nate.  Lucky for Sam he isn't in the main spotlight to take all the Wingnut hate.

    "You have attributed conditions to villainy that simply result from stupidity"

    by newfie on Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 04:20:41 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

    •  indeed (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      StrayCat, AZGoob, sfgb, pdx kirk

      silver, near the end, was calling for like 314 EVs (tho that was a statistical average rather than an actual combination of states).

      wang was calling for 331 IIRC. wang got it almost spot-on.

      both, however, had 330 come up as the most common scenario. nate tends to add a 'fudge factor' to his work as a way of dealing with the possibility of some polls being just total horseshit, whereas wang tends to just aggregate the data alone.

      anyone born after the McDLT has no business stomping around acting punk rock

      by chopper on Wed Nov 07, 2012 at 06:21:19 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site