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View Diary: Rasmussen exposed as Republican shill (117 comments)

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  •  Nothing in this diary (0+ / 0-)

    is evidence that Rasmussen is a "shill".

    Yes, his model turned out to have a Republican bias.  So did Gallup.  Other pollsters had a Democratic bias.

    I think it is very unlikely that any pollster deliberately tried to get the result wrong.  It's possible, but the diary doesn't present that evidence.

    Rasmussen's bias probably came about because he didn't adequately deal with the confound of not being able to contact cell-phone users.  But all polling methods have confounds, and the way you adjust your model depends on assumptions you make.  Many factors need to be considered, and it's a judgement call.  Rasmussen's judgment turned out to be wrong.

    That in itself doesn't make him a "shill".

    •  I might believe this (1+ / 0-)
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      If I haven't seen him pull this same shit year in and year out.

      This year he wasn't able to make his corrections at the last minute like he usually does so that he doesn't come out looking so ridiculous.

      I think he purposefully chooses methodologies that end up biasing his polls towards Republicans.   The man is not stupid, he knows he is doing this as he can see the results year after year.

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